It's either 1) or 2). If the other caps are bad, they won't cause a new, good one to blow.
The most likely thing is a reversed-polarity cap. That will rapidly cause poppage. Much less likely, but not impossible, is a defective new cap (assuming that the voltage rating is correct).
The most likely thing is a reversed-polarity cap. That will rapidly cause poppage. Much less likely, but not impossible, is a defective new cap (assuming that the voltage rating is correct).