Let's wait until after the St. Petersburg summit. I think that Putin isn't going to be as keen to be in complete opposition to the US as Chirac. I'm not sure about Schroeder.

My concern is that they might try to block the lifting of sanctions. Technically, only the Security Council can do that, which makes it the place where there is real leverage.

In good news, the EU parliament has voted to admit the "Vilnius 10."